Race 10A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Oliver Stokke 8.3% 7.4% 7.1% 8.1% 7.3% 8.3% 6.8% 7.1% 5.8% 6.6% 5.1% 5.6% 5.0% 3.9% 2.5% 2.5% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2%
Jack Derry 3.2% 3.3% 4.3% 3.9% 4.0% 4.9% 4.9% 5.6% 5.1% 5.8% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 6.7% 6.1% 5.9% 7.2% 7.6% 5.9%
Bryan Trammell 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 4.5% 4.5% 3.6% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 5.1% 6.3% 5.9% 6.0% 5.8% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 5.7%
Sam Bonauto 8.1% 7.8% 8.0% 7.2% 7.5% 7.8% 6.5% 7.1% 6.5% 5.7% 6.4% 4.5% 5.1% 3.5% 3.0% 1.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.2%
William George 4.0% 3.1% 3.1% 4.7% 3.5% 4.2% 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 6.3% 5.3% 5.9% 6.7% 5.8% 7.2% 8.1% 6.3% 5.9% 4.5%
Jed Bell 4.6% 4.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 4.9% 6.2% 5.1% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 5.4% 6.6% 5.2% 5.0% 3.1%
Peter Joslin 6.0% 7.6% 5.9% 6.2% 8.0% 7.1% 7.3% 5.7% 6.2% 4.7% 7.2% 5.7% 5.7% 4.2% 4.3% 2.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.7%
Stephan Baker 16.7% 14.5% 13.2% 10.9% 9.7% 7.6% 6.8% 5.5% 4.5% 2.9% 2.1% 2.1% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 2.9% 3.2% 2.8% 3.5% 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 6.2% 8.5% 9.8% 10.5%
Mitchell Callahan 11.2% 11.8% 10.5% 7.7% 10.1% 8.3% 7.1% 6.8% 6.5% 5.3% 3.5% 3.5% 2.5% 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
George Higham 2.5% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.2% 5.7% 6.9% 5.8% 6.5% 6.7% 7.1% 5.7% 7.1% 5.8%
Olin Guck 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.0% 3.9% 4.5% 5.1% 4.7% 4.9% 5.7% 5.9% 6.7% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 8.8% 8.6%
Emil Tullberg 2.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.9% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 3.1% 3.8% 3.9% 4.1% 4.9% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 7.3% 8.9% 11.3% 16.4%
Adrian Winkelman 3.7% 3.2% 3.6% 4.8% 5.2% 4.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.3% 5.9% 5.6% 6.5% 5.3% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.7%
Peter McGonagle 2.4% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 2.2% 3.8% 3.0% 4.5% 3.5% 4.6% 6.2% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.1% 8.3% 9.4% 13.5%
Dylan Ascencios 5.7% 4.7% 6.6% 6.4% 5.2% 7.2% 6.0% 6.5% 5.8% 6.4% 6.2% 6.0% 5.0% 5.1% 5.6% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4%
Nathan Sih 5.5% 7.3% 6.2% 7.0% 6.5% 6.5% 6.2% 6.2% 7.1% 6.9% 6.2% 5.0% 5.5% 4.0% 4.7% 4.2% 2.2% 1.9% 1.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 2.1% 2.5% 2.6% 2.9% 2.9% 3.4% 3.3% 3.6% 3.4% 4.4% 4.5% 3.9% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 7.1% 9.5% 10.7% 16.1%
Shea Smith 5.5% 3.7% 4.2% 5.1% 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 5.7% 5.9% 5.3% 7.3% 5.7% 6.6% 6.9% 6.7% 5.7% 4.8% 4.8% 2.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.