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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.51+5.46vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.83+3.39vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.81+5.98vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+3.34vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.48+0.67vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.10-2.29vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+0.47vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+0.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.60vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-4.18vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-0.47vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35+0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.02-5.90vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.28vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.82-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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5.39Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.95Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.76Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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13.47Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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8.1University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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11.72Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.04Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 16.4% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 16.9% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 41.4% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Sky Adams | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.