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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.12+8.25vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.48+4.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.72+7.37vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.59+6.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.54+5.94vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09+5.25vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.49+3.57vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.06-0.24vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.85-4.12vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.09-2.42vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.05+1.17vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.58-0.79vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.65-3.62vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.90-5.43vs Predicted
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15Boston College1.97-6.83vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.08-3.12vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.46-3.33vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University0.73-4.80vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.25-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.25Harvard University2.124.7%1st Place
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6.14Harvard University2.4811.9%1st Place
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10.37Brown University1.723.5%1st Place
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10.6Northeastern University1.594.2%1st Place
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10.94Tufts University1.543.5%1st Place
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11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.093.5%1st Place
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10.57Northwestern University1.493.3%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College2.066.9%1st Place
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4.88Yale University2.8515.8%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University2.097.5%1st Place
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12.17University of Rhode Island1.052.6%1st Place
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11.21Roger Williams University1.583.4%1st Place
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9.38Boston University1.655.5%1st Place
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8.57Yale University1.906.3%1st Place
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8.17Boston College1.977.1%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.082.5%1st Place
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13.67Salve Regina University0.461.7%1st Place
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13.2Fairfield University0.732.5%1st Place
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11.42Brown University1.253.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jed Bell | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Jack Derry | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Shea Smith | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Stephan Baker | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Olin Guck | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.1% |
| George Higham | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% |
| Micky Munns | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Nathan Sih | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 18.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 15.4% |
| William George | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.