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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.71+3.81vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.51+3.55vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+6.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.34vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.12vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.82+0.80vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.05+2.51vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-1.59vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-2.39vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.81-2.99vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.83-7.56vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-0.59vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.73vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.5Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.81Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.55Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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10.01Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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4.71Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.34University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.51Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.44Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.41Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 6.7% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.1% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sky Adams | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Haley Powell | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.1% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 41.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 16.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.