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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.67+7.66vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.73+3.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+9.84vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.47+6.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+5.75vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40+0.39vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.82+1.93vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.71vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02-1.43vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43+0.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.70-1.75vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-1.61vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.54vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.42+0.39vs Predicted
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15Harvard University1.79-6.03vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.73-2.22vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.18-5.73vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-4.16vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-8.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66Tufts University1.676.0%1st Place
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5.17Brown University2.7313.6%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.4%1st Place
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10.77Yale University1.473.9%1st Place
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10.75Harvard University1.553.3%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University2.409.6%1st Place
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8.93Brown University1.825.9%1st Place
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5.29Roger Williams University2.6813.3%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.027.8%1st Place
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10.04Tufts University1.434.5%1st Place
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9.25Yale University1.704.8%1st Place
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10.39University of Rhode Island1.424.2%1st Place
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11.46Boston University1.143.0%1st Place
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14.39Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University1.796.0%1st Place
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13.78Northeastern University0.731.6%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.183.7%1st Place
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13.84Salve Regina University0.971.4%1st Place
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10.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 13.6% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 11.8% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.3% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 24.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 17.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 18.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.