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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.46vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.47vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+5.97vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.81+5.11vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.29vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+2.31vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+2.85vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.27vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-3.19vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.57vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.05+0.49vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.62vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-4.44vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.83-8.63vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-1.44vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.05-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.47Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.97Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.11Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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4.71Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.31University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.85Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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5.81Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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10.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.49Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.37Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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13.56Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 7.8% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Russom | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 3.0% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.6% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 6.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 18.9% | 13.8% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Haley Powell | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 12.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 45.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.