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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.12vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+6.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.27vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.42+10.51vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.47+5.82vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+3.05vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+3.08vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02-0.55vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.42+1.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.67-1.29vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.18+0.43vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.73+1.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-0.06vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-3.72vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-3.65vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.68-10.69vs Predicted
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17Harvard University1.55-5.94vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-4.12vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.70-9.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Brown University2.7314.9%1st Place
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8.97Brown University1.825.5%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.4011.2%1st Place
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14.51Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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10.82Yale University1.473.5%1st Place
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9.05Harvard University1.795.2%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University1.434.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston College2.027.8%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
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8.71Tufts University1.675.7%1st Place
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11.43Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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13.49Northeastern University0.732.2%1st Place
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12.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.8%1st Place
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10.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University1.143.8%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.6813.2%1st Place
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11.06Harvard University1.552.8%1st Place
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13.88Salve Regina University0.970.9%1st Place
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9.05Yale University1.704.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 14.9% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 26.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| John Eastman | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 18.2% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.