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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.83+4.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.49vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.99+5.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.10+0.74vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+3.24vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.82+3.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-0.11vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.48-1.57vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.44vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.71-4.09vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.92-2.36vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.58-2.23vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.35+0.48vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.05-2.50vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.05-3.32vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.81-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.31University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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9.05Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.91Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.64Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.77Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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13.48Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.5Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.68Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.06Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.9% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Sky Adams | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 7.6% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 42.5% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 17.5% | 15.7% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.