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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.58+8.65vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.82+6.88vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.83+2.49vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.51+2.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.10-0.34vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+2.66vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-1.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.99+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.02-0.77vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+0.63vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.81-2.06vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.05-0.47vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.28vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.35-0.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.05-3.25vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-9.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.65Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.88Brown University2.820.0%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.92Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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8.23University of Rhode Island3.020.1%1st Place
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10.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University2.810.1%1st Place
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11.53Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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13.38Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.75Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
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6.65Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% |
| Sky Adams | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Kiss | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 1.2% |
| Chanel Miller | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 8.0% |
| Morgan Russom | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 15.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 42.0% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 16.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.