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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.40+5.37vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.67+6.77vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.18+8.34vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73+1.15vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.14+6.53vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.02+1.57vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.79+1.89vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.43+2.28vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-3.66vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+2.78vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-0.60vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University0.97+1.68vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42+1.54vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.42-3.71vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.73-1.38vs Predicted
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16Harvard University1.55-5.18vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.70-8.08vs Predicted
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18Yale University1.47-7.16vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.82-10.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University1.675.8%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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5.15Brown University2.7315.6%1st Place
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11.53Boston University1.142.9%1st Place
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7.57Boston College2.027.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University1.795.5%1st Place
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10.28Tufts University1.433.6%1st Place
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5.34Roger Williams University2.6813.1%1st Place
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12.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.8%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.3%1st Place
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13.68Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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14.54Fairfield University0.420.9%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island1.423.3%1st Place
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13.62Northeastern University0.731.5%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University1.553.3%1st Place
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8.92Yale University1.705.6%1st Place
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10.84Yale University1.473.8%1st Place
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8.89Brown University1.826.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 15.6% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Jack Flores | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.1% | 13.3% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 16.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 25.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Alex Adams | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.