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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.10+3.56vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.51+4.45vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.82+5.95vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.02+4.41vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.83+0.51vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.58+3.84vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.71-1.05vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.92+0.49vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.45vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.05+1.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.54vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.99-3.65vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.28vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.81-5.15vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.35-1.45vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.05-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Yale University4.100.2%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
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8.95Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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5.51Dartmouth College3.830.1%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.95Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.65Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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8.85Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
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13.55Middlebury College1.350.0%1st Place
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11.71Boston University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Kiss | 17.0% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 9.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Sky Adams | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Deirdre Lambert | 11.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Haley Powell | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 18.1% | 13.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 7.6% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Russom | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Terry Duncan | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 16.1% | 43.9% |
| Lindsey Kennett | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.