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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.02+6.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.79+6.86vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.40+3.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.18+7.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.55+5.82vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+4.33vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.67+1.49vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.47+2.91vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.14+2.43vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.68-4.77vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.73+2.38vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+2.64vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.82-3.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-8.91vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University0.97-1.27vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-5.68vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.70-7.95vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-7.60vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Boston College2.027.5%1st Place
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8.86Harvard University1.795.1%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.4010.8%1st Place
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11.6Bowdoin College1.181.9%1st Place
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10.82Harvard University1.553.5%1st Place
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10.33Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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8.49Tufts University1.675.9%1st Place
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10.91Yale University1.473.5%1st Place
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11.43Boston University1.143.4%1st Place
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5.23Roger Williams University2.6814.8%1st Place
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13.38Northeastern University0.732.2%1st Place
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14.64Fairfield University0.421.5%1st Place
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9.05Brown University1.824.9%1st Place
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5.09Brown University2.7314.8%1st Place
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13.73Salve Regina University0.971.6%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island1.423.8%1st Place
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9.05Yale University1.704.9%1st Place
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10.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.0%1st Place
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12.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.8% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| John Eastman | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 15.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 25.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.8% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 18.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.