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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+2.91vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.23+4.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+4.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.01+2.92vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.53+3.65vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.94vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-2.30vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.59-0.71vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.34-0.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61-2.63vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.58-0.27vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.71-5.80vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-7.23vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.05Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.73Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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4.7Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.29University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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9.28Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont1.580.0%1st Place
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8.2Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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13.35Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 19.3% | 21.3% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Liz Dubovik | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.6% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| Amanda Donohue | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 24.5% | 19.9% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 16.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.