← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.40+5.16vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.67+6.54vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.68+2.31vs Predicted
-
4Yale University1.70+5.14vs Predicted
-
5Boston University1.14+6.55vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.42+4.27vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.73-1.81vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.18+3.45vs Predicted
-
9Brown University1.82-0.06vs Predicted
-
10Boston College2.02-2.52vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University0.73+2.57vs Predicted
-
12Yale University1.47-1.06vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University1.55-2.27vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.12vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University1.79-6.07vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-5.64vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University1.43-6.79vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University0.97-4.18vs Predicted
-
19Fairfield University0.42-4.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.16Roger Williams University2.4010.3%1st Place
-
8.54Tufts University1.677.1%1st Place
-
5.31Roger Williams University2.6812.2%1st Place
-
9.14Yale University1.704.9%1st Place
-
11.55Boston University1.142.6%1st Place
-
10.27University of Rhode Island1.423.5%1st Place
-
5.19Brown University2.7314.0%1st Place
-
11.45Bowdoin College1.183.1%1st Place
-
8.94Brown University1.825.8%1st Place
-
7.48Boston College2.029.1%1st Place
-
13.57Northeastern University0.731.8%1st Place
-
10.94Yale University1.472.9%1st Place
-
10.73Harvard University1.553.7%1st Place
-
12.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.8%1st Place
-
8.93Harvard University1.795.5%1st Place
-
10.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.9%1st Place
-
10.21Tufts University1.434.6%1st Place
-
13.82Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
-
14.55Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Eastman | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Carlos de Castro | 12.2% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.0% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Jack Flores | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 16.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 14.1% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.