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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.23vs Predicted
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2Yale University1.47+8.61vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.18+8.34vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.43+5.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-0.64vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.79+1.92vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.55+2.72vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.67-0.31vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.02-2.32vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.73+2.69vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island1.42-1.64vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.59vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-1.10vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-0.51vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University0.97-2.28vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.82-8.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-7.70vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.70-9.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Brown University2.7314.9%1st Place
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10.61Yale University1.473.6%1st Place
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11.34Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University2.4010.0%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University1.434.2%1st Place
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5.36Roger Williams University2.6814.0%1st Place
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8.92Harvard University1.795.4%1st Place
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10.72Harvard University1.553.5%1st Place
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8.69Tufts University1.675.9%1st Place
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7.68Boston College2.026.6%1st Place
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13.69Northeastern University0.731.6%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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11.41Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.4%1st Place
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14.49Fairfield University0.421.6%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University0.971.8%1st Place
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8.97Brown University1.825.0%1st Place
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10.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.0%1st Place
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9.12Yale University1.705.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 14.9% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.0% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| John Eastman | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 15.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 25.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 18.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Alex Adams | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.