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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.07vs Predicted
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2Grand Valley State University-0.76+2.59vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.79vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University-1.65+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan-0.43-0.95vs Predicted
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6Saginaw Valley State University-3.11+3.42vs Predicted
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7Northern Michigan University-1.46-0.75vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University-1.84-0.76vs Predicted
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9Hope College-1.75-2.30vs Predicted
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10Northern Michigan University-1.51-3.73vs Predicted
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11University of Toledo-2.87-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Michigan Technological University0.9744.1%1st Place
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4.59Grand Valley State University-0.769.0%1st Place
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3.79Michigan Technological University-0.3014.3%1st Place
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6.66Michigan State University-1.654.3%1st Place
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4.05University of Michigan-0.4312.4%1st Place
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9.42Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.9%1st Place
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6.25Northern Michigan University-1.463.8%1st Place
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7.24Northwestern University-1.842.6%1st Place
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6.7Hope College-1.753.5%1st Place
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6.27Northern Michigan University-1.513.6%1st Place
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8.96University of Toledo-2.871.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Rodenroth | 44.1% | 26.7% | 15.3% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 9.0% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Alex Cross | 14.3% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 10.2% | 4.9% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 12.4% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 22.4% | 45.0% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% |
| John Tirpak | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 10.8% | 4.9% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 3.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Cooper Avery | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 24.6% | 34.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.