Race 5B

maisa-womens

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Megan Magill 28.5% 24.2% 17.2% 14.9% 7.5% 4.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sara Burke 7.1% 9.3% 10.4% 15.0% 14.2% 15.1% 12.8% 10.5% 5.6%
Katrina Williams 22.6% 20.3% 18.7% 12.9% 12.8% 7.1% 4.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Sarah Yuskaitis 13.0% 16.0% 13.9% 14.1% 12.6% 13.6% 9.8% 4.8% 2.2%
Joan Boyle 3.6% 4.3% 7.1% 7.9% 9.0% 11.3% 12.8% 20.0% 24.0%
Kathleen Hilton 3.8% 3.4% 5.6% 7.3% 7.8% 9.8% 16.8% 22.1% 23.4%
Lauren Burke 10.2% 12.3% 12.9% 13.1% 16.1% 14.3% 11.5% 7.1% 2.5%
Emma Kofmehl 7.5% 6.9% 9.7% 10.3% 12.4% 14.0% 15.1% 13.8% 10.3%
Hillary Paulsen 3.7% 3.3% 4.5% 4.5% 7.6% 9.9% 14.4% 20.4% 31.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.