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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+4.26vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.55+8.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+2.31vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.40+2.25vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82+4.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.43+4.17vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.02+0.44vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.67+0.65vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.70+0.01vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.18+1.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.79-2.02vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-1.63vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.42-2.51vs Predicted
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14Yale University1.47-3.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-2.17vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.14-4.60vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.42-2.50vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University0.73-4.31vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University0.97-5.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.26Brown University2.7313.8%1st Place
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10.79Harvard University1.553.5%1st Place
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5.31Roger Williams University2.6814.3%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University2.4010.4%1st Place
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9.01Brown University1.826.0%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.434.3%1st Place
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7.44Boston College2.027.0%1st Place
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8.65Tufts University1.675.9%1st Place
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9.01Yale University1.704.8%1st Place
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11.36Bowdoin College1.183.6%1st Place
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8.98Harvard University1.795.3%1st Place
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10.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.403.9%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island1.423.5%1st Place
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10.86Yale University1.473.4%1st Place
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12.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.6%1st Place
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11.4Boston University1.142.5%1st Place
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14.5Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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13.69Northeastern University0.731.7%1st Place
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13.64Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.3% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Alex Adams | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 11.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 24.4% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 17.1% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.