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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.74+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+6.19vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+4.76vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+4.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01-0.96vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.23+0.23vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+2.12vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.71-0.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.98-2.00vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53-1.30vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-3.07vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-3.91vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.01-5.77vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67-0.58vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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8.19University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.76Connecticut College2.750.0%1st Place
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8.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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4.04Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.0Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.7Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.09Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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13.42Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Vermont1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlena Fauer | 15.5% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 19.7% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 4.3% |
| Annie Schmidt | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 3.1% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 13.1% | 58.9% |
| Amanda Donohue | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 25.4% | 19.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.