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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+3.96vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82+5.92vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+3.47vs Predicted
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5Yale University1.47+5.68vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.18+5.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.43+3.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.79+0.89vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.55+1.60vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.14+1.34vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-2.61vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.70-3.18vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.97+0.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.86-5.78vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.42-0.74vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-3.12vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.77-4.21vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-7.80vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island1.42-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Roger Williams University2.6814.5%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University2.4012.9%1st Place
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8.92Brown University1.825.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College2.027.4%1st Place
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10.68Yale University1.472.9%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College1.183.4%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University1.796.2%1st Place
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10.6Harvard University1.553.8%1st Place
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11.34Boston University1.143.6%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University1.677.8%1st Place
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8.82Yale University1.705.6%1st Place
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13.72Salve Regina University0.971.7%1st Place
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8.22Brown University1.865.8%1st Place
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14.26Fairfield University0.421.7%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.7%1st Place
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12.79Northeastern University0.772.5%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.3%1st Place
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10.3University of Rhode Island1.424.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 14.5% | 14.4% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.9% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% |
| John Eastman | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alex Adams | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 17.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 24.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 11.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.