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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+4.23vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.40+4.06vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+4.38vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+6.60vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42+9.36vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.79+2.89vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+3.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.86+0.24vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.18+2.13vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.47+0.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-2.60vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.82-3.16vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.14-1.56vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-4.01vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.42-4.84vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.77-3.26vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-3.50vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.15vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.70-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Roger Williams University2.6813.3%1st Place
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6.06Roger Williams University2.4012.3%1st Place
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7.38Boston College2.027.8%1st Place
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10.6Harvard University1.553.9%1st Place
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14.36Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University1.795.5%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.8%1st Place
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8.24Brown University1.867.6%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College1.183.6%1st Place
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10.83Yale University1.474.0%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University1.676.8%1st Place
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8.84Brown University1.825.5%1st Place
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11.44Boston University1.142.7%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.434.2%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island1.423.9%1st Place
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12.74Northeastern University0.772.6%1st Place
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13.5Salve Regina University0.972.0%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.8%1st Place
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9.07Yale University1.705.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 12.3% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| John Eastman | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Tyler Nash | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 12.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 17.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 11.3% |
| Alex Adams | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.