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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.86+7.16vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University0.77+10.87vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.47+7.82vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.55+6.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+2.42vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82+2.88vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.70+2.18vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.40-1.85vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.68-3.81vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.42+0.14vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.67-2.44vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.42+2.46vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.18-1.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.43-3.92vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.14-3.89vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-5.82vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.97-3.46vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85-5.40vs Predicted
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19Harvard University1.79-10.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Brown University1.866.7%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University0.772.4%1st Place
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10.82Yale University1.473.6%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University1.554.3%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.027.7%1st Place
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8.88Brown University1.826.1%1st Place
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9.18Yale University1.705.0%1st Place
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6.15Roger Williams University2.4011.3%1st Place
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5.19Roger Williams University2.6815.4%1st Place
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10.14University of Rhode Island1.424.4%1st Place
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8.56Tufts University1.676.2%1st Place
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14.46Fairfield University0.421.3%1st Place
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11.33Bowdoin College1.183.1%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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11.11Boston University1.143.2%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.2%1st Place
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13.54Salve Regina University0.971.9%1st Place
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12.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.852.3%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University1.796.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.3% |
| Sam Tobin | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Jack Redmond | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Alex Adams | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| John Eastman | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 25.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.