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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+7.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.43+8.03vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.86+5.14vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.14+7.19vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.02+2.42vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.67+2.74vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.70+1.93vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.68-2.75vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42+5.33vs Predicted
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10Yale University1.47+0.81vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.55-0.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.85+0.69vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.40-6.89vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.18-2.58vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.77-2.33vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.42-5.81vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-6.69vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University0.97-4.36vs Predicted
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19Harvard University1.79-10.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.8Brown University1.826.3%1st Place
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10.03Tufts University1.434.0%1st Place
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8.14Brown University1.866.3%1st Place
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11.19Boston University1.144.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston College2.028.9%1st Place
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8.74Tufts University1.676.3%1st Place
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8.93Yale University1.706.0%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University2.6813.2%1st Place
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14.33Fairfield University0.421.4%1st Place
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10.81Yale University1.474.0%1st Place
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10.7Harvard University1.553.3%1st Place
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12.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.851.5%1st Place
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6.11Roger Williams University2.4011.3%1st Place
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11.42Bowdoin College1.183.2%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University0.772.5%1st Place
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10.19University of Rhode Island1.424.5%1st Place
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10.31U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.404.2%1st Place
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13.64Salve Regina University0.972.2%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University1.796.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| John Eastman | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Alex Adams | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.2% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 13.7% | 25.6% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 19.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.