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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.07vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.59+6.69vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.75+5.28vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+5.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+3.73vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.71+2.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98+0.54vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.74-3.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.87-1.24vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.62vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.47vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.74-3.75vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.53-3.99vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-2.68vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.34-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.07Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.69University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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8.28Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.47Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.54Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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4.77Yale University3.740.2%1st Place
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7.76Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.25Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.01Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.19Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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12.32University of Vermont1.580.0%1st Place
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9.77Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 19.2% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% |
| Kayla Ellis | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 16.1% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Laura Dunphy | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 15.2% | 54.6% |
| Amanda Donohue | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 22.3% | 20.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.