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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.59+7.61vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+2.12vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+1.89vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.71+4.58vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.51+4.13vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+2.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+1.47vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+1.60vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.75-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.58+2.24vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-4.44vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.98-4.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.87-5.20vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.74-5.86vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College0.67-0.70vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.53-6.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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4.12Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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4.89Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.58Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.0%1st Place
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8.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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9.6Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.18Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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12.24University of Vermont1.580.0%1st Place
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6.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University2.870.1%1st Place
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8.14Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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14.3Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
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9.12Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christina Lewis | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 20.4% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 14.3% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Kayla Ellis | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Amanda Donohue | 2.3% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 23.7% | 17.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Kelly McGlynn | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 60.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.