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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+3.01vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.58+6.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.50+2.61vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.51+5.27vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.59+3.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+1.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.61+1.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01-0.87vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-0.79vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.75-1.73vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.71-2.59vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-2.32vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.74-4.79vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.18-7.40vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.58-2.66vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College0.67-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.01Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.74Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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5.61Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.27Bowdoin College2.510.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island2.590.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.610.1%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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8.27Connecticut College2.750.1%1st Place
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8.41Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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6.6Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Vermont1.580.0%1st Place
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14.36Middlebury College0.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 21.2% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lizzy Hamilton | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 3.3% |
| Christina Lewis | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Kayla Ellis | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Dunphy | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Liz Dubovik | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 4.3% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Amanda Donohue | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 24.4% | 19.1% |
| Meghan Colwell | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 59.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.