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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.01+1.92vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.56+1.58vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01+0.01vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University0.03-1.07vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.07-2.08vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Hamilton College0.0121.9%1st Place
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3.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.5613.2%1st Place
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3.01Syracuse University0.0119.2%1st Place
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2.93Syracuse University0.0322.0%1st Place
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2.92University of Pittsburgh0.0722.4%1st Place
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5.64Unknown School-2.681.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 21.9% | 20.8% | 20.3% | 20.2% | 14.5% | 2.3% |
| Lauren Manney | 13.2% | 14.7% | 15.4% | 20.6% | 29.6% | 6.3% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 19.2% | 21.6% | 20.1% | 19.5% | 17.1% | 2.5% |
| William Hagen | 22.0% | 21.5% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 2.8% |
| Stanley Galloway | 22.4% | 19.2% | 22.2% | 18.0% | 15.8% | 2.3% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.