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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.24+1.16vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.01+0.31vs Predicted
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3Hamilton College-1.55+1.16vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-1.42vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.43vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.16University of Pittsburgh0.2434.9%1st Place
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2.31Syracuse University0.0131.1%1st Place
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4.16Hamilton College-1.554.7%1st Place
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2.58Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2023.3%1st Place
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4.57Syracuse University-1.973.9%1st Place
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5.22Unknown School-2.682.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 34.9% | 29.9% | 22.7% | 9.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 31.1% | 26.7% | 26.5% | 11.8% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Allen Underwood III | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 30.2% | 31.8% | 13.1% |
| Jonah Nelson | 23.3% | 26.8% | 26.3% | 17.3% | 5.0% | 1.3% |
| Heath Megnin | 3.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 19.9% | 34.4% | 27.6% |
| Dima Murtada | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 11.4% | 22.9% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.