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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University4.05+4.20vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.34vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan2.86+5.45vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia3.54+1.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-1.62vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.09vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.78-2.85vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24-1.65vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-4.17vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.98-6.31vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.79-2.99vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-2.46vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.95-2.43vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-3.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.67U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.5University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.15University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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13.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.15Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.35Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.83SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.69Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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12.54University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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13.57University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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13.91Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 20.4% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 4.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 17.4% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 1.5% |
| Harry Scott | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Colin Smith | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 14.4% | 14.3% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 23.8% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 17.2% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.