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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.24+1.13vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20+0.60vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University0.01-0.64vs Predicted
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4Unknown School-2.68+1.24vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-1.55-0.91vs Predicted
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6Syracuse University-1.97-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.13University of Pittsburgh0.2435.8%1st Place
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2.6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2022.2%1st Place
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2.36Syracuse University0.0130.2%1st Place
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5.24Unknown School-2.681.6%1st Place
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4.09Hamilton College-1.556.9%1st Place
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4.58Syracuse University-1.973.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 35.8% | 31.3% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| Jonah Nelson | 22.2% | 26.1% | 28.5% | 16.2% | 6.5% | 0.5% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 30.2% | 25.5% | 27.1% | 13.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 10.2% | 23.6% | 57.5% |
| Allen Underwood III | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 29.8% | 28.8% | 14.5% |
| Heath Megnin | 3.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 20.5% | 35.4% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.