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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.54+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.34+3.64vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.23vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.68+0.69vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-0.86vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.74+0.57vs Predicted
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7Drexel University1.75-0.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.81-3.47vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.60-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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5.64University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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4.69U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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4.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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6.57George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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6.62Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
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4.53Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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6.85Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katrina Williams | 21.0% | 20.8% | 19.1% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 5.2% | 5.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 10.1% |
| Megan Magill | 29.2% | 23.8% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sara Burke | 8.8% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 13.1% | 15.5% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 2.7% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 16.2% | 19.9% | 24.2% |
| Joan Boyle | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 24.0% |
| Lauren Burke | 11.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 3.3% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.