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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+1.00vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+1.06vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.54vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.46+1.68vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.75+1.15vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University-1.84+0.33vs Predicted
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7Saginaw Valley State University-3.11+1.48vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.51-2.35vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan-1.71-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.0Michigan Technological University0.9743.8%1st Place
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3.06Michigan State University0.0219.1%1st Place
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3.54Michigan Technological University-0.3014.4%1st Place
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5.68Northern Michigan University-1.464.5%1st Place
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6.15Hope College-1.753.9%1st Place
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6.33Northwestern University-1.843.1%1st Place
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8.48Saginaw Valley State University-3.111.1%1st Place
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5.65Northern Michigan University-1.514.5%1st Place
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6.02University of Michigan-1.714.2%1st Place
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8.08University of Toledo-2.871.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Rodenroth | 43.8% | 29.4% | 14.8% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ella Beck | 19.1% | 23.5% | 21.0% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Alex Cross | 14.4% | 18.0% | 21.3% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Lawrence Busse | 4.5% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
Matthew Daub | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 15.7% | 13.3% | 4.0% |
John Tirpak | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 7.2% |
Claire DeVoogd | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 46.0% |
Nathan Sylvester | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 2.4% |
Andrew Beute | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 12.3% | 4.1% |
Cooper Avery | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 23.5% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.