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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lucas Rodenroth 43.8% 29.4% 14.8% 7.8% 3.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 19.1% 23.5% 21.0% 17.6% 10.4% 5.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Alex Cross 14.4% 18.0% 21.3% 17.5% 12.9% 8.5% 4.9% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Lawrence Busse 4.5% 5.1% 8.8% 11.9% 14.4% 16.9% 13.8% 14.2% 7.8% 2.5%
Matthew Daub 3.9% 5.1% 6.7% 9.2% 11.9% 12.4% 17.9% 15.7% 13.3% 4.0%
John Tirpak 3.1% 4.2% 7.2% 8.6% 11.0% 13.8% 16.4% 15.2% 13.2% 7.2%
Claire DeVoogd 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 3.8% 6.2% 7.0% 10.8% 19.8% 46.0%
Nathan Sylvester 4.5% 6.2% 8.8% 12.0% 13.4% 16.7% 13.9% 13.1% 9.1% 2.4%
Andrew Beute 4.2% 5.8% 7.4% 9.5% 13.0% 12.8% 14.5% 16.3% 12.3% 4.1%
Cooper Avery 1.2% 1.7% 2.2% 3.1% 6.0% 6.6% 9.3% 12.5% 23.5% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.