← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University4.05+5.10vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University4.71+2.19vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida3.49+5.34vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University4.01+2.48vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College3.78+2.11vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+7.12vs Predicted
-
7University of Virginia3.54+1.14vs Predicted
-
8University of Michigan2.86+2.47vs Predicted
-
9Eckerd College3.24+0.39vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington2.79+0.78vs Predicted
-
11SUNY Maritime College3.60-2.87vs Predicted
-
12Dartmouth College4.05-5.72vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.25vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.98-7.33vs Predicted
-
15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-1.17vs Predicted
-
16University of Miami2.28-3.34vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota1.95-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
-
4.19Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
-
8.34University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.48Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.11Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
13.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.14University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
-
10.47University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.39Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
10.78University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
-
8.13SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
7.75U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
6.67Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
13.83Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
-
12.66University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
-
13.55University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 19.0% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.8% | 18.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Graham | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Harry Scott | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 19.2% | 30.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 15.2% | 13.9% |
| Ryan Grosch | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 19.0% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.