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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pittsburgh0.24+1.10vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.01+0.37vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-0.40vs Predicted
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4Hamilton College-1.55+0.14vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-1.97-0.47vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Pittsburgh0.2434.9%1st Place
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2.37Syracuse University0.0128.7%1st Place
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2.6Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2023.8%1st Place
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4.14Hamilton College-1.555.8%1st Place
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4.53Syracuse University-1.974.7%1st Place
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5.26Unknown School-2.682.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Polaski | 34.9% | 32.6% | 22.1% | 8.0% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 28.7% | 28.5% | 25.1% | 12.6% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Jonah Nelson | 23.8% | 24.1% | 28.3% | 17.5% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Allen Underwood III | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 30.3% | 31.4% | 13.2% |
| Heath Megnin | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 20.9% | 35.1% | 25.7% |
| Dima Murtada | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 10.7% | 21.9% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.