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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.01+1.79vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.01+0.81vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.07-0.17vs Predicted
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4Syracuse University-0.88-0.10vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.20-1.92vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.68-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Hamilton College0.0124.1%1st Place
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2.81Syracuse University0.0123.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Pittsburgh0.0722.2%1st Place
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3.9Syracuse University-0.8810.4%1st Place
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3.08Rochester Institute of Technology-0.2018.7%1st Place
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5.6Unknown School-2.681.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Stewart | 24.1% | 22.6% | 20.6% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 1.7% |
| Shay Gualdoni | 23.1% | 21.2% | 23.6% | 18.4% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Stanley Galloway | 22.2% | 23.2% | 20.4% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 1.4% |
| John Colby | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 34.9% | 10.8% |
| Jonah Nelson | 18.7% | 19.8% | 20.0% | 21.3% | 17.3% | 2.9% |
| Dima Murtada | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 80.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.