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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+5.10vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+4.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+4.39vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+1.27vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.71-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.86+3.63vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.74vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60-0.93vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.79+0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.54-2.67vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81+1.88vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota1.95+0.56vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.22vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.78-7.74vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.28-3.33vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.24-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.1Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.39University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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4.41Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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10.63University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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8.07SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.83University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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8.33University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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13.88Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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13.56University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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7.78U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.26Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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9.32Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 17.1% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 3.3% |
| Ian Stokes | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 17.1% | 17.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 30.5% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 20.0% | 24.3% |
| Michael Grove | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.