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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.05+5.08vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan2.86+8.38vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+9.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+0.26vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+2.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.79+1.93vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College4.05-3.86vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.78-0.13vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-5.54vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.83-2.29vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-0.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.43vs Predicted
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16University of Minnesota1.95-2.46vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.08Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.78University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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4.26Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.02Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.29Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.87Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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6.46Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.71University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.91Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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7.57U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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9.89SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Laube | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 19.2% |
| Alec Anderson | 18.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Karl Haelsig | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 5.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 6.1% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 31.7% |
| Michael Grove | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 24.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.