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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia3.54+6.78vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University4.01+4.30vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.18vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.79+6.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.36vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.98+0.64vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan2.86+2.31vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.78-1.66vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49-1.94vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University4.71-6.72vs Predicted
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12Stanford University4.05-5.81vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.00vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.83-3.20vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.95-1.61vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.11vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.78-6.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.64Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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9.79SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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7.34Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.06University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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4.28Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.19Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Miami2.830.0%1st Place
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13.39University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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13.89Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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10.89Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 5.5% |
| Michael Grove | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Colin Smith | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 4.0% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 18.9% | 16.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 1.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 17.3% | 26.5% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 29.4% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.