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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame0.49+1.48vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.19+0.88vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.56-0.64vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48-0.28vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University-0.66-1.10vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70-0.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Notre Dame0.4929.2%1st Place
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2.88Syracuse University0.1920.2%1st Place
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2.36University of Pittsburgh0.5631.4%1st Place
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3.72Rochester Institute of Technology-0.489.1%1st Place
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3.9Syracuse University-0.668.8%1st Place
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5.66Unknown School-2.701.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Stone | 29.2% | 25.6% | 21.2% | 16.7% | 6.9% | 0.4% |
| Alexa Whitman | 20.2% | 21.6% | 24.3% | 19.8% | 12.5% | 1.7% |
| Ridgeway Case | 31.4% | 27.3% | 22.1% | 12.9% | 6.0% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Franklin | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 23.9% | 30.2% | 6.4% |
| Maren Behnke | 8.8% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 22.9% | 36.0% | 8.0% |
| Walter Kivala | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 8.5% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.