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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+2.70vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.66+1.90vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.49-0.50vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh0.56-1.59vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.19-2.15vs Predicted
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6Unknown School-2.70-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.4810.7%1st Place
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3.9Syracuse University-0.669.3%1st Place
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2.5University of Notre Dame0.4927.5%1st Place
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2.41University of Pittsburgh0.5630.3%1st Place
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2.85Syracuse University0.1920.9%1st Place
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5.64Unknown School-2.701.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Franklin | 10.7% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 30.8% | 6.5% |
| Maren Behnke | 9.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 21.8% | 34.8% | 9.2% |
| Ethan Stone | 27.5% | 26.9% | 22.8% | 14.8% | 7.5% | 0.6% |
| Ridgeway Case | 30.3% | 27.8% | 20.5% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 0.7% |
| Alexa Whitman | 20.9% | 21.6% | 23.2% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 1.1% |
| Walter Kivala | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 82.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.