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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.49+7.02vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia3.54+5.94vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University4.71+1.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+2.25vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+1.06vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.92vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.98-0.56vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University4.01-1.79vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24+0.26vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.86+0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Minnesota1.95+2.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.48vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-5.78vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.00vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-2.64vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.12vs Predicted
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17University of Washington2.79-6.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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4.19Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.06Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.21Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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9.26Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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13.47University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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7.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.22Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.0University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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12.36University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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13.88Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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10.78University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Stocke | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alec Anderson | 18.7% | 16.4% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 18.2% | 25.8% |
| Michael Grove | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.4% | 13.3% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 28.6% |
| Karl Haelsig | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.