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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.71+3.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+3.18vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+2.38vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.05+1.09vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.24+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida3.49+1.19vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.60vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.98-2.44vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.54-2.09vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-3.69vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.28+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-0.10vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.79-3.08vs Predicted
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15University of Minnesota1.95-1.65vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan2.86-5.47vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-3.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.36U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.18Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.09Stanford University4.050.1%1st Place
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9.38Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.19University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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9.6SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.56Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Virginia3.540.0%1st Place
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7.31Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.45University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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12.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Washington2.790.0%1st Place
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13.35University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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10.53University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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13.81Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Anderson | 20.4% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 10.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 14.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.4% |
| Karl Haelsig | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 24.8% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 18.1% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.