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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.80+5.73vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+1.92vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.95+9.21vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College3.24+3.67vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+0.26vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College4.05-1.04vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.86vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.06+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.64vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.25+0.36vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia3.54-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-3.56vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.49-7.11vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.28-3.71vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.73Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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3.92Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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13.21University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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8.67Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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6.26Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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5.96Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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7.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.72SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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12.64University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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7.0Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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12.36University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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7.88University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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13.66Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hans Henken | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 21.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 18.3% | 22.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Steel | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 15.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 14.9% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 6.6% | 3.5% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 18.1% | 27.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.