← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.48+2.69vs Predicted
-
2Syracuse University0.19+0.81vs Predicted
-
3Hamilton College0.11-0.09vs Predicted
-
4University of Pittsburgh0.56-1.64vs Predicted
-
5Syracuse University-0.37-1.44vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-2.70-0.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.69Rochester Institute of Technology-0.4810.6%1st Place
-
2.81Syracuse University0.1922.4%1st Place
-
2.91Hamilton College0.1121.9%1st Place
-
2.36University of Pittsburgh0.5632.4%1st Place
-
3.56Syracuse University-0.3711.6%1st Place
-
5.67Unknown School-2.701.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Franklin | 10.6% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 22.9% | 31.1% | 6.2% |
| Alexa Whitman | 22.4% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 13.0% | 1.8% |
| Renata Altuzar Barcenas | 21.9% | 20.4% | 21.1% | 19.7% | 15.1% | 1.8% |
| Ridgeway Case | 32.4% | 27.3% | 20.7% | 12.3% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Alec Wyers | 11.6% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 23.8% | 27.0% | 5.1% |
| Walter Kivala | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 7.5% | 84.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.