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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+6.10vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.31vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University4.01+2.15vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.78+1.74vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota1.95+7.43vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+2.50vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia3.54-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Miami2.28+3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan2.86+0.17vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.65vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.05-6.00vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.80-6.01vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.25-1.59vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-6.10vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.81-2.36vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.1Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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4.01Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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7.31U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.15Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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6.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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13.43University of Minnesota1.950.0%1st Place
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9.5SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Virginia3.540.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.65University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.0%1st Place
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6.0Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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6.99Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.41University of Washington2.250.0%1st Place
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8.9Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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13.64Texas A&M University at Galveston1.810.0%1st Place
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8.03University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 20.8% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 6.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Dillon Paiva | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Grosch | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 22.6% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Gordon Wolcott | 6.5% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 14.6% | 13.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Ian Stokes | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Hans Henken | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kris Thompson | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Benjamin Kennady | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 17.3% | 26.1% |
| Christopher Stocke | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.