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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Lucas Rodenroth 44.5% 28.7% 15.7% 7.5% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ella Beck 17.8% 23.2% 23.2% 17.3% 10.7% 5.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Cross 16.0% 18.8% 21.1% 17.8% 12.8% 7.9% 3.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Lawrence Busse 4.9% 6.0% 8.4% 11.7% 14.3% 16.9% 14.8% 12.1% 8.5% 2.4%
Matthew Daub 3.5% 4.5% 6.9% 9.8% 12.4% 13.5% 16.0% 15.8% 12.8% 4.8%
Nathan Sylvester 5.1% 7.2% 8.1% 11.4% 13.6% 15.2% 15.8% 13.0% 8.9% 1.8%
John Tirpak 3.5% 4.0% 5.9% 8.3% 10.9% 13.9% 16.8% 17.0% 12.8% 6.9%
Andrew Beute 3.0% 5.1% 7.1% 9.8% 13.5% 14.4% 15.3% 16.3% 10.2% 5.1%
Claire DeVoogd 0.9% 0.8% 1.7% 2.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.7% 10.2% 21.9% 45.1%
Cooper Avery 0.9% 1.6% 1.9% 3.8% 5.2% 6.9% 8.2% 13.1% 24.6% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.