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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan Technological University0.97+0.98vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.02+1.07vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.42vs Predicted
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4Northern Michigan University-1.46+1.63vs Predicted
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5Hope College-1.75+1.17vs Predicted
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6Northern Michigan University-1.51-0.40vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University-1.84-0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan-1.71-1.92vs Predicted
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9Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Toledo-2.87-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.98Michigan Technological University0.9744.5%1st Place
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3.07Michigan State University0.0217.8%1st Place
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3.42Michigan Technological University-0.3016.0%1st Place
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5.63Northern Michigan University-1.464.9%1st Place
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6.17Hope College-1.753.5%1st Place
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5.6Northern Michigan University-1.515.1%1st Place
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6.38Northwestern University-1.843.5%1st Place
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6.08University of Michigan-1.713.0%1st Place
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8.52Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.9%1st Place
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8.14University of Toledo-2.870.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Rodenroth | 44.5% | 28.7% | 15.7% | 7.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ella Beck | 17.8% | 23.2% | 23.2% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Alex Cross | 16.0% | 18.8% | 21.1% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Lawrence Busse | 4.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 2.4% |
Matthew Daub | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 4.8% |
Nathan Sylvester | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
John Tirpak | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 12.8% | 6.9% |
Andrew Beute | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
Claire DeVoogd | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 21.9% | 45.1% |
Cooper Avery | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 24.6% | 34.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.