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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.81+3.56vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.40vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.74+3.70vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.34+1.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-2.25vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.81+0.49vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.15vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.54-4.80vs Predicted
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9Drexel University1.75-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
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4.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
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6.7George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
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5.4University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
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2.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
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4.85U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
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3.2Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
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6.65Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Burke | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 9.0% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 20.7% | 28.5% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.8% |
| Megan Magill | 30.8% | 23.2% | 17.5% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alison Love | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 19.3% | 23.2% |
| Sara Burke | 8.8% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Katrina Williams | 24.2% | 18.8% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.