← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.80vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.46vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.40vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.8SUNY Stony Brook0.8848.0%1st Place
-
2.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0922.6%1st Place
-
2.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0218.7%1st Place
-
3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 48.0% | 30.0% | 16.1% | 5.8% |
| Patrick McCarron | 22.6% | 28.2% | 29.6% | 19.5% |
| Caleb Keister | 18.7% | 26.7% | 30.9% | 23.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.7% | 15.0% | 23.4% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.