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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.48vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82SUNY Stony Brook0.8848.2%1st Place
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2.48U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0921.4%1st Place
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2.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0220.6%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.589.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 48.2% | 28.1% | 17.7% | 6.0% |
| Patrick McCarron | 21.4% | 28.2% | 31.0% | 19.4% |
| Caleb Keister | 20.6% | 27.8% | 30.4% | 21.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.8% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 53.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.