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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.50vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.41vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8SUNY Stony Brook0.8846.6%1st Place
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2.5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0921.4%1st Place
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2.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0220.2%1st Place
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3.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.5811.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 46.6% | 31.8% | 16.6% | 5.1% |
| Patrick McCarron | 21.4% | 28.0% | 29.5% | 21.1% |
| Caleb Keister | 20.2% | 25.4% | 30.0% | 24.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 11.9% | 14.8% | 23.8% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.