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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02+1.55vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook0.88-0.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09-0.48vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0219.8%1st Place
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1.79SUNY Stony Brook0.8848.2%1st Place
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2.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0921.9%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Keister | 19.8% | 28.5% | 28.9% | 22.8% |
| kai rauch | 48.2% | 29.9% | 16.9% | 5.0% |
| Patrick McCarron | 21.9% | 26.0% | 30.6% | 21.4% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.1% | 15.6% | 23.5% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.