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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.24vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.13vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+4.61vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+2.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.55vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.44+1.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-1.03vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-3.20vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan3.02+0.50vs Predicted
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10University of Virginia3.01-0.69vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.89-1.04vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.49-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of Minnesota2.53-1.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-1.18vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.93-5.30vs Predicted
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16University of Washington2.19-3.63vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.13SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.61University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.82Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.91Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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5.97Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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4.8Brown University4.300.2%1st Place
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9.5University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.31University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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12.82University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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9.7University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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12.37University of Washington2.190.0%1st Place
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15.49Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Will Stocke | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Hall | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Miller | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| William Macdonald | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 16.1% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Stessing | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Tony Collins | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Scott Houck | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 12.3% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Forcade | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 17.2% | 10.1% |
| Nicholas Chong | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 13.7% | 60.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.