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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.40vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.78SUNY Stony Brook0.8848.2%1st Place
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2.47U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0922.1%1st Place
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2.6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0219.3%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 48.2% | 31.2% | 15.1% | 5.5% |
| Patrick McCarron | 22.1% | 27.9% | 30.6% | 19.4% |
| Caleb Keister | 19.3% | 26.1% | 30.3% | 24.2% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.3% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.