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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.94vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.77vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.14vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology-0.83-0.15vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94SUNY Stony Brook0.8844.6%1st Place
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2.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0918.9%1st Place
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2.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0219.1%1st Place
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3.85Stevens Institute of Technology-0.838.2%1st Place
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3.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.589.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 44.6% | 27.9% | 18.4% | 7.4% | 1.7% |
| Patrick McCarron | 18.9% | 25.8% | 24.8% | 20.3% | 10.1% |
| Caleb Keister | 19.1% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 22.0% | 12.4% |
| Anthony Webster | 8.2% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 24.4% | 43.6% |
| Ryan Magill | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.9% | 25.8% | 32.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.