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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.80vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02+0.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09-0.54vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.8SUNY Stony Brook0.8847.1%1st Place
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2.59U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0219.4%1st Place
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2.46U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0922.8%1st Place
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3.15SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 47.1% | 31.1% | 16.8% | 5.1% |
| Caleb Keister | 19.4% | 25.7% | 31.4% | 23.4% |
| Patrick McCarron | 22.8% | 28.2% | 29.2% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.7% | 15.0% | 22.6% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.