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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook0.88+0.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.09+0.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.02-0.45vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.58-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.79SUNY Stony Brook0.8847.8%1st Place
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2.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0921.7%1st Place
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2.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.0220.4%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.5810.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| kai rauch | 47.8% | 30.3% | 17.1% | 4.8% |
| Patrick McCarron | 21.7% | 28.1% | 29.8% | 20.4% |
| Caleb Keister | 20.4% | 27.3% | 29.5% | 22.8% |
| Ryan Magill | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 52.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.