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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University-0.38+3.71vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.97+0.20vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University-1.65+3.94vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University-0.30+0.08vs Predicted
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5Grand Valley State University-0.76-0.07vs Predicted
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6University of Michigan-0.43-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.87+2.15vs Predicted
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8Northern Michigan University-1.46-1.54vs Predicted
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9Northern Michigan University-1.51-2.44vs Predicted
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10Hope College-1.75-2.92vs Predicted
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11Saginaw Valley State University-3.11-1.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Northwestern University-0.389.8%1st Place
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2.2Michigan Technological University0.9740.9%1st Place
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6.94Michigan State University-1.652.7%1st Place
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4.08Michigan Technological University-0.3013.8%1st Place
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4.93Grand Valley State University-0.768.2%1st Place
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4.33University of Michigan-0.4312.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Toledo-2.871.2%1st Place
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6.46Northern Michigan University-1.463.7%1st Place
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6.56Northern Michigan University-1.513.8%1st Place
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7.08Hope College-1.753.1%1st Place
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9.56Saginaw Valley State University-3.110.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Warfel | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Rodenroth | 40.9% | 25.8% | 17.1% | 8.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Weykamp | 2.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 4.5% |
| Alex Cross | 13.8% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 8.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Oliver Peloquin | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Avery | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 26.0% | 36.7% |
| Lawrence Busse | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
| Nathan Sylvester | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Daub | 3.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 6.0% |
| Claire DeVoogd | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 22.2% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.