← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.34+4.55vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97+2.44vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-0.20vs Predicted
-
4Old Dominion University3.54-0.90vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University2.81-0.51vs Predicted
-
6George Washington University1.74+0.59vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Naval Academy2.68-2.13vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.81-1.48vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University1.75-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.55University of Pennsylvania2.340.1%1st Place
-
4.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.1%1st Place
-
2.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.3%1st Place
-
3.1Old Dominion University3.540.2%1st Place
-
4.49Georgetown University2.810.1%1st Place
-
6.59George Washington University1.740.0%1st Place
-
4.87U. S. Naval Academy2.680.1%1st Place
-
6.52Cornell University1.810.0%1st Place
-
6.65Drexel University1.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Kofmehl | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 9.7% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 9.1% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 15.7% | 14.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Megan Magill | 28.6% | 23.0% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Katrina Williams | 23.6% | 21.7% | 17.5% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Burke | 11.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% |
| Kathleen Hilton | 4.1% | 3.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 21.1% | 25.2% |
| Sara Burke | 8.5% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Alison Love | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 24.5% |
| Joan Boyle | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 26.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.