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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+1.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5835.9%1st Place
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1.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4838.4%1st Place
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3.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.679.8%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.2815.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hussey | 35.9% | 32.2% | 23.4% | 8.5% |
| Patrick Modin | 38.4% | 34.1% | 20.3% | 7.2% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 9.8% | 13.9% | 25.1% | 51.2% |
| Brendan Strein | 15.8% | 19.8% | 31.3% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.