← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.97vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+0.06vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.11vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4839.0%1st Place
-
2.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5835.1%1st Place
-
3.11SUNY Stony Brook-0.6711.7%1st Place
-
2.86SUNY Stony Brook-0.2814.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 39.0% | 33.6% | 19.2% | 8.2% |
| William Hussey | 35.1% | 31.9% | 24.3% | 8.6% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 11.7% | 13.6% | 26.4% | 48.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 14.2% | 20.8% | 30.0% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.