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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+7.96vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.30+1.76vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.89+5.83vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.51vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.49+1.75vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.95-1.06vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.72-1.40vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.44-1.11vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.24-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Virginia3.01-1.53vs Predicted
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12University of Minnesota2.53-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of Michigan3.02-3.54vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.28-1.89vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California2.93-5.34vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.20vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston0.89-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.96SUNY Maritime College3.050.1%1st Place
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6.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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4.76Brown University4.300.2%1st Place
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9.83Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.51U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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6.6Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.89Connecticut College3.440.1%1st Place
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8.4University of South Florida3.240.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Virginia3.010.0%1st Place
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11.09University of Minnesota2.530.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Washington2.280.0%1st Place
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9.66University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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12.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.0%1st Place
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15.51Texas A&M University at Galveston0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tommy Fink | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Mary Hall | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Scott Houck | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Macdonald | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Miller | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Fernando Monllor | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Stessing | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Drake Lundeen | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 11.5% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Sam Parish | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 9.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 13.5% |
| Nicholas Chong | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 13.7% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.