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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+0.08vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.18vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4839.1%1st Place
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2.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5834.8%1st Place
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2.82SUNY Stony Brook-0.2814.9%1st Place
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3.16SUNY Stony Brook-0.6011.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 39.1% | 34.1% | 19.7% | 7.1% |
| William Hussey | 34.8% | 31.5% | 24.7% | 8.9% |
| Brendan Strein | 14.9% | 20.3% | 32.6% | 32.0% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 11.1% | 14.1% | 23.0% | 51.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.