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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.92vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58-0.04vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.24vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.12-0.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4839.6%1st Place
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1.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5838.4%1st Place
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2.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.2814.6%1st Place
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3.35SUNY Stony Brook-1.127.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
---|---|---|---|---|
Patrick Modin | 39.6% | 33.7% | 21.4% | 5.2% |
William Hussey | 38.4% | 34.1% | 20.6% | 7.0% |
Brendan Strein | 14.6% | 21.8% | 36.6% | 27.0% |
Isabel Steinmetz | 7.4% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.