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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University1.95+1.81vs Predicted
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2Drexel University1.64+1.31vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College1.73+0.18vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+0.91vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.24+0.50vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.56-0.99vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.56-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Monmouth University1.950.3%1st Place
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3.31Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.18Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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4.91Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.240.0%1st Place
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5.01Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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3.28Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Stevens | 26.9% | 23.7% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Chris Myers | 17.3% | 18.6% | 19.7% | 19.8% | 12.4% | 9.1% | 3.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 20.3% | 20.2% | 18.5% | 17.4% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 2.8% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 18.4% | 24.7% | 22.0% |
| Adam Rybczynski | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 39.9% |
| Nathan Fulcher | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 22.3% | 27.2% |
| Casey Brown | 19.3% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 18.3% | 15.7% | 7.8% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.