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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.91vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.71vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58-1.05vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.12-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4840.1%1st Place
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2.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.2815.8%1st Place
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1.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5838.2%1st Place
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3.43SUNY Stony Brook-1.125.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 40.1% | 34.4% | 20.0% | 5.6% |
| Brendan Strein | 15.8% | 21.6% | 39.0% | 23.8% |
| William Hussey | 38.2% | 34.6% | 21.3% | 5.9% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 5.9% | 9.4% | 19.8% | 64.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.