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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+0.05vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.12-0.39vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-2.49-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4840.2%1st Place
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2.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5835.5%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.2816.0%1st Place
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3.61SUNY Stony Brook-1.126.7%1st Place
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4.62Stevens Institute of Technology-2.491.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 40.2% | 34.8% | 18.8% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| William Hussey | 35.5% | 33.4% | 22.9% | 7.2% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Strein | 16.0% | 20.1% | 35.6% | 23.7% | 4.6% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 6.7% | 8.9% | 18.7% | 48.0% | 17.6% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 15.2% | 76.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.