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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48+0.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+0.03vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.19vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4838.5%1st Place
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2.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5835.6%1st Place
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3.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.6710.5%1st Place
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2.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.2815.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 38.5% | 34.2% | 19.9% | 7.5% |
| William Hussey | 35.6% | 34.1% | 22.2% | 8.1% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 10.5% | 12.6% | 23.9% | 52.9% |
| Brendan Strein | 15.4% | 19.2% | 34.0% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.