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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.58+0.96vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.48-0.09vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.67+0.04vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.5838.5%1st Place
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1.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.4838.8%1st Place
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3.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.6711.5%1st Place
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3.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.6811.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hussey | 38.5% | 33.8% | 21.0% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Modin | 38.8% | 37.1% | 18.1% | 5.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 11.5% | 15.0% | 31.1% | 42.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 11.2% | 14.1% | 29.8% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.