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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology0.56+3.72vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology0.65+2.58vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University1.95-0.28vs Predicted
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4Drexel University1.64-0.80vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.56-1.66vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College1.73-2.94vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.08-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.72Rochester Institute of Technology0.560.1%1st Place
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4.58Stevens Institute of Technology0.650.1%1st Place
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2.72Monmouth University1.950.3%1st Place
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3.2Drexel University1.640.2%1st Place
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3.34Webb Institute1.560.2%1st Place
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3.06Ocean County College1.730.2%1st Place
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6.39University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Fulcher | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 29.1% | 13.7% |
| MacKenzie McGuckin | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 20.6% | 30.7% | 8.4% |
| Paul Stevens | 25.7% | 25.0% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 9.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Chris Myers | 19.8% | 18.0% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 0.9% |
| Casey Brown | 17.0% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Schippe | 22.0% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 13.6% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Justin Plott | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 11.7% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.